Voluntary Private Pension Funds and Capital Market Development

Main Article Content

Aslı Togan Eğrican
Fatih Kayhan

Abstract

We examine voluntary private pension funds and their relationship to capital market development. Using data from Turkey, we analyse depth, efficiency and liquidity indicators of capital markets after the introduction of voluntary private pension funds in 2003. Overall, our findings indicate that the introduction of voluntary private pension plans are positively associated with indicators of capital market development, focusing on market depth (such as market capitalisation and trading volume) in both debt and equity markets. We also observe that indicators for other more recently established markets are also positively associated with the introduction of voluntary pension plans. In contrast, equity market turnover shows a negative association. These findings, along with the positive association with the corporate governance index, suggest that pension funds are important for capital market development and for corporate governance of firms as they are long-term investors. However, the introduction of state contributions in 2013 is not robust to alternative specifications.

Article Details

How to Cite
Voluntary Private Pension Funds and Capital Market Development. (2022). Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance, 18(2), 195–240. https://doi.org/10.21315/aamjaf2022.18.2.9
Section
Articles

References

Acemoglu, D., & Zilibotti, F. (1997). Was Prometheus unbound by chance? Risk, diversification, and growth. Journal of Political Economy, 105, 709–775. https://doi.org/10.1086/262091

Altug, S., & Firat, M. C. (2018). Borrowing constraints and saving in Turkey. Central Bank Review, 18(1), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cbrev.2018.01.002

Amihud, Y. (2002). Illiquidity and stock returns: Cross?section and time?series effects. Journal of Financial Markets, 5, 31–56. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1386-4181(01)00024-6

Asparouhova, E., Bessembinder, H., & Kalcheva, I. (2010). Liquidity biases in asset pricing tests. Journal of Financial Economics, 96(2), 215–237. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2009.12.011

Avramov, D., Chordia, T., & Goyal, A. (2006). Liquidity and autocorrelations in individual stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 61(5), 2365–2394. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2006.01060.x

Babalos, V., & Stavroyiannis, S. (2020). Pension funds and stock market development in OECD countries: Novel evidence from a panel VAR. Finance Research Letters, 34, Article 101247. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2019.07.020

Barr, N., & Diamond, P. (2016). Reforming pensions in Chile. Polityka Spoleczna, 1, 4–9.

Bayar, Y. (2017). Individual pension funds and capital market development in Turkey. Review of Economic and Business Studies, 9(2), 95–109. https://doi.org/10.1515/rebs-2016-0036

Beck, T., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (2005). SMEs, growth, and poverty: Cross-country evidence. Journal of Economic Growth, 10(3), 199–229. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-005-3533-5

Bekaert, G., & Harvey, C. R. (1998). Capital markets: An engine for economic growth. The Brown Journal of World Affairs, 5(1), 33–53.

Berstein, S. M., & Chumacero, R. A. (2006). Quantifying the costs of investment limits for Chilean pension funds. Fiscal Studies, 27(1), 99–123. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-5890.2006.00029.x

Bodie, Z. (1990). Pension funds and financial innovation. Financial Management, 19(3), 11–22. https://doi.org/10.2307/3665821

Brook, A.-M., & Whitehouse, E. (2006). The Turkish pension system further reforms to help solve the informality problem (OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers 44). OECD Publishing.

Catalán, M. (2004). Pension funds and corporate governance in developing countries: What do we know and what do we need to know? Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, 3(2), 197–232. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1474747204001532

Catalán, M., Impavido, G., & Musalem, A. R. (2000). Contractual savings or stock market development—Which leads? (Policy Research Working Paper Series 2421). The World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-2421

Cihak, M., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., Feyen, E., & Levine, R. (2012). Benchmarking financial systems around the world (Policy Research Working Paper. No. 6175). World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-6175

Comert, H., & Yeldan, E. (2018). A tale of three crises in Turkey: 1994, 2001, and 2008–09 (Working Paper No. 465). University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Political Economy Research Center. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315669632-4

Committee on the Global Financial System. (2019). Establishing viable capital markets (Working Paper No. 62). Bank for International Settlements.

Corbo, V., & Schmidt-Hebbel, K. (2003). Macroeconomic effects of the pension reform in Chile. In International Federation of Pension Fund Administrators (IFPFA) (Ed.), Pension reforms: Results and challenges (pp. 241–329). IFPFA.

Daradkah, D., & Al-Hamdoun, N. (2021). Pension funds, capital market development and macroeconomic variables: Evidence from Jordan. Journal of Public Affairs, 21(2), Article e2215. https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.2215

Davis, E. (2003). Linkages between pension reform and financial sector development. Asian Development Bank.

Davis, E. P. (1998). Pension funds: Retirement-income security and capital markets: An international perspective. Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198293040.001.0001

Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (1996). Stock markets, corporate finance, and economic growth: An overview. The World Bank Economic Review, 10(2), 223–239. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/10.2.223

Disney, R., Emmerson, C., & Smith, S. (2003). Pension reform and economic performance in Britain in the 1980s and 1990s. NBER Working Paper No. 9556. https://doi.org/10.3386/w9556

Enache, C., Milo?, L. R., & Milo?, M. C. (2015). Pension reform and capital market development in Central and Eastern European countries. Economic Research, 28(1), 75–84. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2015.1022388

Ertu?rul, H. M., Gebe?o?lu, P. F., & Atasoy, B. S. (2018). Mind the gap: Turkish case study of policy change in private pension schemes. Borsa Istanbul Review, 18(2), 140–149. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2017.11.003

Ertu?rul, H. M., & Gebesoglu, P. F. (2020). “The effect of private pension scheme on savings: A case study for Turkey.” Borsa Istanbul Review 20(2), pp. 172-177. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2019.12.001

Eurostat. (2018). ESS guidelines on temporal disaggregation, benchmarking and reconciliation. Retrieved from/documents/3859598/9441376/KS-06-18-355-EN.pdf/fce32fc9-966f-4c13-9d20-8ce6ccf079b6?t=1544628822000

Gillan, S. L., & Starks, L. T. (2000). Corporate governance proposals and shareholder activism: The role of institutional investors. Journal of Financial Economics, 57(2), 275–305. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(00)00058-1

Hasbrouck, J. (2009). Trading costs and returns for U.S. equities: Estimating effective costs from daily data. The Journal of Finance, 64(3), 1445–1477. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2009.01469.x

Hryckiewicz, A. (2009). Pension reform, institutional investors’ growth and stock market development in the developing countries: Does it function? (NBP Working Papers 67). Narodowy Bank Polski, Economic Research Department. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1744824

Hu, Y. (2012). Growth of Asian pension assets: Implications for financial and capital markets (Working Paper No. 360). Asian Development Bank Institute. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2071134

Hujo, K. (2014). Reforming pensions in developing and transition countries. Palgrave Macmillan Press. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137396112

Impavido, G., Musalem, A. R., & Tressel, A. R. (2001). Contractual savings institutions and banks’ stability and efficiency (Policy Research Working Paper Series 2751). The World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-2751

Institutional Investors in Emerging Markets. (2004). Global financial stability report. International Monetary Fund.

Kayhan, F., & Togan E?rican, A. (2021). An overview of voluntary private pension funds in Turkey. Journal of Financial Researches and Studies, 13(25), 586–607. https://doi.org/10.14784/marufacd.976622

Kim, H.-S. (2008). Spillover effects of pension funds on capital markets: The mechanism and preconditions. SSRN. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2805804

King, R. G., & Levine, R. (1993). Finance and growth: Schumpeter might be right. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 108(3), 717–737. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118406

Kripfganz, S., & Schneider, D. (2018). ARDL: Estimating autoregressive distributed lag and equilibrium correction models. Paper presented at the Proceedings of the London Stata Conference, London, 6–7 September.

Liang, R., & Bing, L. (2010). Management of UK pension funds and financial market development: 1970–2008. Paper presented at the 3rd International Conference on Information Management, Innovation Management and Industrial Engineering, 594–598. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICIII.2010.623

Meng, C., & Pfau, W. D. (2010). The role of pension funds in capital market development. GRIPS Discussion Paper.

Mesa-Lago, C. (2009). Re-reform of Latin American private pensions systems: Argentinian and Chilean models and lessons. The Geneva Papers, 34, 602–217. https://doi.org/10.1057/gpp.2009.23

Moleko, N., & Ikhide, S. (2015). Establishing linkages between pension funds and capital market development in South Africa (Working paper), University of Stellenbosch Business School.

Niggemann, T., & Rocholl, J. (2010). Pension funding and capital market development (SSRN working paper). https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1571126

Nkoro, E., & Uko, A. K. (2016). Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration technique: Application and interpretation. Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, 5(4), 63–91.

OECD. (2018). OECD Pensions Outlook. Paris: OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/pens_outlook-2018-en

Pagano, M. (1989). Trading volume and asset liquidity. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 104(2), 255–274. https://doi.org/10.2307/2937847

Pardal, P., Dias, R., Šule?, P., Teixeira, N., & Krulický, T. (2020). Integration in Central European capital markets in the context of the global COVID-19 pandemic. Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 15(4), 627–650. https://doi.org/10.24136/eq.2020.027

Peksevim, S., & Akgiray, V. (2019). Reforming the pension system in Turkey: Comparison of mandatory and auto-enrolment pension systems in selected OECD countries. OECD. Retrieved from https://www.oecd.org/pensions/Reforming-the-Pension-System-in-Turkey-2019.pdf

Perron, P., & Vogelsang, T. J. (1992). Testing for a unit root in a time series with a changing mean: Corrections and extensions. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. 10(4), 467–470. https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.1992.10509923

Pesaran, M. H., & Shin Y. (1999) An autoregressive distributed lag modelling approach to cointegration analysis. In S. Strom (Ed.), Econometrics and economic theory in the 20th century: The Ragnar Frisch centennial symposium (Chapter 11). Cambridge University Press.

Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616

Raddatz, C., & Schmukler, S. L. (2008). Pension funds and capital market development: How much bang for the buck? (Policy Research Working Paper No. 4787). World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-4787

Raisa, M. L. (2012, December). Spillover effects of pension funds on capital markets. The Eu-15 countries case. Annals—Economy Series (vol. 4, pp. 164–170), Constantin Brâncu?i University, Faculty of Economics.

Sahay, R., ?ihák, M., N’Diaye, P., Barajas, A., Bi, R., Ayala, D., Gao, Y., Kyobe, A., Nguyen, L., Saborowski, C., Svirydzenka, K., & Yousefi, S. R. (2015). Rethinking financial deepening: Stability and growth in emerging markets (SDN/15/08). IMF Staff Discussion Note. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781498312615.006

Samwick, A. (2000). Is pension reform conducive to higher saving? The Review of Economics and Statistics, 82(2), 264–272. https://doi.org/10.1162/003465300558777

Sanusi, K. A., & Kapingura, F. M. (2021). Pension funds as fuel for overall investment level and economic growth: An empirical insight from South African economy. Cogent Business & Management, 8(1), Article 1935661. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2021.1935661

Singh, A. (1996). Pension reform, the stock market, capital formation and economic growth: A critical commentary on the World Bank’s proposals. International Social Security Review, 49, 21–43. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-246X.1996.tb01108.x

Stewart, F., Despalins, R., & Remizova, I. (2014). Pension funds, capital markets and the power of diversification (Policy Research Working Paper No. 8136). World Bank.

Sun, S., & Hu, J. (2014, August 16). The impact of pension systems on financial development: An empirical study. In M. Faure & N. Philipsen (Eds.), The role of law and regulation in sustaining financial market (pp. 120–131). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2481749

Thomas, A., Spataro, L., & Mathew, N. (2014). Pension funds and stock market volatility: An empirical analysis of OECD countries. Journal of Financial Stability, 11(1), 92–103. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2014.01.001

Tutuncu, L. (2020). Lock-up provisions and valuation of Turkish IPOs. Eurasian Business Review, 10(4), 587–608. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40821-019-00144-7

Tuzcu, S. E., & Ertugay, E. (2020). Is size an input in the mutual fund performance evaluation with DEA? Eurasian Economic Review, 10(4), 635–659. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40822-020-00141-6

Vittas, D. (1995). Sequencing social security, pension, and insurance reform (Policy Research Working Paper Series 1551). World Bank.

Vittas, D. (1999). Pension reform and financial markets (Development Discussion Papers No. 697). Harvard Institute for International Development.

Wahab, E. A., How, J., & Verhoeven, P. (2008). Corporate governance and institutional investors: Evidence from Malaysia. Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance, 4(2), 67–90.

Walker, E., & Lefort, F. (2002). Pension reform and capital markets: Are there any (hard) links? Abante, 5(2), 77–149.

Weyland, K. (2005). Theories of policy diffusion lessons from Latin American pension reform. World Politics, 57(2), 262–295. https://doi.org/10.1353/wp.2005.0019

World Bank. (1994). Averting the old-age crisis: Policies to protect the old and promote growth. Oxford University Press.

World Bank. (2008). Finance for all policies and pitfalls in expanding access. World Bank Policy Research Report.

World Bank. (2015). Global financial development report 2015/2016: Long-term finance. Global financial development report. Washington, DC: World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/22543

Y?lmaz M., Aksoy, M., & Çelik, T. (2020). Market reaction to regulatory policy changes in financial statement filings: Evidence from Turkey. Eurasian Economic Review, 10, 567–605. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40822-020-00142-5